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Will South Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Division I women’s basketball championship?

YES 51%NO 49%

Pool 5

Closes Apr 5, 11:59 PM

ncaa · womens-basketball · south-carolina · march-madness

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finalized

Will the S&P 500 (price return, ticker SPX) official closing level exceed 5,200 on 2026-03-31 (New York time)?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 31, 8:00 PM

sp-500 · spx · equities · quarter-end

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Public

open

Will the U.S. FTC file a new antitrust complaint naming Meta Platforms, Inc. between 2026-01-01 and 2026-03-31?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 31, 11:59 PM

ftc · meta · antitrust · litigation

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open

Will Apple announce a new iPad Pro model on or before 2026-03-31?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 31, 11:59 PM

apple · ipad-pro · hardware · product-launch

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open

Will the Boston Bruins clinch a berth in the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs on or before 2026-04-12?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 12, 11:59 PM

nhl · boston-bruins · stanley-cup-playoffs · standings

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Public

open

Will NOAA issue an El Niño or La Niña advisory by March 31, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 31, 11:59 PM

noaa · enso · el-nio · la-nia

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finalized

Will Beyoncé perform at the 98th Academy Awards on March 10, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 10, 11:59 PM

oscars · academy-awards · beyonc · entertainment

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open

Will Microsoft announce a ≥$5B acquisition of a publicly traded U.S. company by March 31, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 31, 11:59 PM

microsoft · ma · acquisition · nyse

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open

Will SpaceX conduct an orbital-class Starship test launch by March 31, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 31, 11:59 PM

spacex · starship · launch · faa

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open

Will an NFL team trade the reigning AP NFL MVP on or before April 1, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 1, 11:59 PM

nfl · transactions · mvp · trade

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open

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning clinch a 2026 Stanley Cup playoff berth by April 12, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 12, 11:59 PM

nhl · tampa-bay-lightning · stanley-cup-playoffs · standings

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open

Will UConn win the 2026 NCAA Division I men's basketball championship on April 6, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 6, 11:59 PM

ncaa · college-basketball · uconn · final-four

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open

Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution imposing new multilateral sanctions on North Korea by April 13, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 13, 12:00 AM

united-nations · security-council · dprk · sanctions

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open

Will U.S. initial unemployment insurance claims for the week ending March 28, 2026 exceed 250,000 in the first DOL release?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 2, 12:30 PM

department-of-labor · initial-claims · jobless-claims · weekly-data

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finalized

Will the U.S. PCE price index 12-month change for February 2026 be at or below 2.5% in the initial BEA release?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 27, 12:30 PM

bea · pce-inflation · yoy · february-2026

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open

Will the ADP National Employment Report for March 2026 show a private payroll increase of at least 150,000?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 1, 12:15 PM

adp · employment · private-payrolls · labor-market

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open

Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3, seasonally adjusted) for March 2026 be at or below 4.0% in the initial BLS release?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 3, 12:30 PM

bls · unemployment-rate · u-3 · labor-market

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finalized

Will U.S. nonfarm payrolls (headline change) for March 2026 be 200,000 or more in the initial BLS release?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 3, 12:30 PM

bls · employment · nonfarm-payrolls · labor-market

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finalized

Will the U.S. headline CPI 12-month change for February 2026 be at or below 3.0%?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 11, 12:00 PM

cpi · inflation · bls · macro

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finalized

Will UK headline CPI 12-month inflation for February 2026 be at or below 3.0%?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 18, 6:00 AM

uk · cpi · inflation · ons

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finalized

Will the United States Federal Reserve announce a 0.25% interest rate increase or higher at its March 2026 meeting?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 20, 12:00 AM

finance · us-macro · economy · interest-rates

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finalized

Will the 2026 Winter Paralympics in Italy officially begin by March 7, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 8, 12:00 AM

sports · world · paralympics · italy

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