Price + timeline
YES probability • updated 3:10:02 AM
Apr 21May 11Jun 1
Auto-refreshes every 4 seconds and after completed trades.
Public market
Will the U.S. House pass a bill that would ban TikTok (outright or via divest-or-ban) by May 31, 2026?
Status: Open for trading
Closes May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM • Fee 0.50% • Resolution Community
Market strip
Live implied odds
YES 50.0%
NO 50.0%
Pool shares0
YES shares0
NO shares0
Liquidity parameter100
Community resolve
YES stake $0.00 · NO stake $0.00
Resolution window ends: Not set
Challenge window ends: Not set
Provisional outcome: N/A · Current outcome: N/A
Challenges: 0 total, 0 open
If there is no challenge, the initial community vote finalizes automatically after the challenge window.
Final outcome is only set by a human when there is a tie or at least one valid challenge.
Market context
Resolves on final passage in the U.S. House of Representatives of any bill containing statutory text that would prohibit the operation or distribution of the TikTok app in the U.S., either outright or unless ownership is divested within a specified timeframe (i.e., a divest-or-ban framework). Conference reports or omnibus bills qualify if they contain such a provision.
Tags: congress, house, tiktok, tech-policy, 2026
Risk flags: definition-ambiguity, procedural-risk, judicial-risk
Resolution details
Resolves YES if: On or before May 31, 2026, the House passes (final passage) a bill including a TikTok nationwide ban provision (outright or divest-or-ban), as recorded by the House Clerk/Congress.gov.
Resolves NO if: No such bill passes the House by the deadline, or only nonbinding measures or bills without a nationwide TikTok ban mechanism pass.
Resolver authority: Community provisional outcome + human adjudication only if tie/challenge
Vote/challenge windows: 24h vote + 24h challenge. See full community resolve flow.
Evidence rules: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.
Dispute rules: Community vote window is fixed at 24 hours after close. Challenge window is fixed at 24 hours after provisional outcome.