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Will the U.S. Department of Justice file a new civil antitrust complaint in U.S. federal court naming Amazon.com, Inc. on or before 2026-05-31 (UTC)?

Status: Open for trading

Closes May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM • Fee 0.50% • Resolution Community

Price + timeline

YES probability • updated 3:10:06 AM

0%25%50%75%100%
Apr 28May 15Jun 1

Auto-refreshes every 4 seconds and after completed trades.

Market strip

Live implied odds

YES 50.0%

NO 50.0%

Pool shares0

YES shares0

NO shares0

Liquidity parameter100

Community resolve

YES stake $0.00 · NO stake $0.00

Resolution window ends: Not set

Challenge window ends: Not set

Provisional outcome: N/A · Current outcome: N/A

Challenges: 0 total, 0 open

If there is no challenge, the initial community vote finalizes automatically after the challenge window.

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Final outcome is only set by a human when there is a tie or at least one valid challenge.

Market context

‘New’ means a complaint initiating a new civil antitrust case during the window; amendments to an existing case do not count. The complaint must name Amazon.com, Inc. (or its primary U.S. operating entity) as a defendant. Resolution via DOJ press release or official federal court docket entry.

Created: Apr 28, 2026, 4:13 PM

Closes: May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM

Expected resolution: Jun 1, 2026, 4:00 PM

Fee: 0.50%

Resolver stake cap: $1.00

Maker rake paid: $0.00

Tags: doj, antitrust, amazon, lawsuit, big-tech

Risk flags: legaldefinition, filingtiming

Resolution details

Resolves YES if: A new civil antitrust complaint initiating a case and naming Amazon.com, Inc. is filed on or before 2026-05-31 23:59:59 UTC, as evidenced by DOJ or the federal docket.

Resolves NO if: No qualifying new complaint is filed by the deadline; or only amendments in existing cases occur.

Resolver authority: Community provisional outcome + human adjudication only if tie/challenge

Vote/challenge windows: 24h vote + 24h challenge. See full community resolve flow.

Evidence rules: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.

Dispute rules: Community vote window is fixed at 24 hours after close. Challenge window is fixed at 24 hours after provisional outcome.

Official and supporting sources