Public market

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning clinch a 2026 Stanley Cup playoff berth by April 12, 2026?

Status: Open

Closes Apr 12, 2026, 11:59 PM • Fee 0.50% • Resolution Community

Price + timeline

YES probability • updated 1:50:06 PM

0%25%50%75%100%
Feb 27Mar 21Apr 12

Auto-refreshes every 4 seconds and after completed trades.

Market strip

Live implied odds

YES 50.0%

NO 50.0%

Pool shares0

YES shares0

NO shares0

Liquidity parameter100

Community resolve

YES stake $0.00 · NO stake $0.00

Resolution window ends: Not set

Challenge window ends: Not set

Provisional outcome: N/A · Current outcome: N/A

Challenges: 0 total, 0 open

If there is no challenge, the initial community vote finalizes automatically after the challenge window.

Final outcome is only set by a human when there is a tie or at least one valid challenge.

Market context

NHL.com flags teams that have clinched playoff berths. This market looks for the Lightning to be officially marked as having clinched by the end of April 12, 2026 (UTC).

Created: Feb 27, 2026, 12:47 AM

Closes: Apr 12, 2026, 11:59 PM

Expected resolution: Not specified

Fee: 0.50%

Resolver stake cap: $1.00

Maker rake paid: $0.00

Tags: nhl, tampa-bay-lightning, stanley-cup-playoffs, standings, clinch

Risk flags: schedulechange, datasourceoutage

Resolution details

Resolves YES if: By 2026-04-12T23:59:59Z, NHL.com standings or an NHL press release indicates the Tampa Bay Lightning have clinched a berth in the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs (e.g., clinch indicator next to team or explicit announcement).

Resolves NO if: The Lightning have not clinched by the deadline, or are eliminated from clinching a 2026 playoff berth by that time.

Resolver authority: Community provisional outcome + human adjudication only if tie/challenge

Vote/challenge windows: 24h vote + 24h challenge. See full community resolve flow.

Evidence rules: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.

Dispute rules: Community vote window is fixed at 24 hours after close. Challenge window is fixed at 24 hours after provisional outcome.

Official and supporting sources