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There's No Chance

A local-first prediction market

  • Create clear yes/no markets in minutes.
  • Forecast local sports outcomes and season milestones.
  • Track city council votes, zoning approvals, and project timelines.
  • Run private, institution-gated markets for your community.
  • Predict average test results by grade, class, or term.
  • Build markets for hedging against poor academic performance.
  • Forecast faculty retirement dates and staffing transitions.
  • Estimate how many classes will be offered next semester.
  • Model class attendance on specific days tied to weather or events.

Payments & Token Economy

Fund your account in USD through Venmo and trade with wallet balance.

Venmo deposits (manual reconciliation)

Each Venmo deposit requires a generated invoice code in the payment note.

  • You payEnter any amount within wallet limits.
  • Required noteUse the invoice code exactly as shown in wallet.
  • Deposit creditWallet credit is posted at gross amount.
  • Withdrawal feeVenmo processing fee is applied when cashing out.

Wallet credit timing

Venmo payments are matched against your invoice code and posted into wallet.

  • Auto matchExact note and amount matches are credited directly into your wallet.
  • Manual reviewMissing or edited codes can send a payment into the admin review queue.
  • Ledger visibilityGross deposits and withdrawal fees are visible in wallet and admin history.

Wallet and admin reconciliation views track gross deposit amounts while withdrawal flows apply Venmo fee policy.

Exploring first? Browse public markets. Institution markets unlock after login + verified .edu institution access.

FAQ

How do markets resolve?

Markets use community resolution by default with a fixed vote window, challenge window, and adjudication rules for ties/challenges. See the full flow on the Community Resolve page.

Open community resolve explainer

What is the dispute process and timing?

After provisional outcome, eligible out-voted resolvers can challenge by doubling their original stake. No challenge means automatic finalization to vote outcome; challenged markets go to human adjudication.

How are fees handled?

Trading and payout fees are shown in quote/checkout flows before execution. Fee policy is set per market or platform rules and is recorded in the ledger.

How do withdrawals work?

Withdrawals require eligibility checks including KYC status, risk controls, and minimum thresholds. Requests move through pending, completed, or failed states with reason tracking.

Can I run private or institution-only markets?

Yes. v1 supports gated access using approved organization and domain rules so only verified members can discover or trade selected markets.