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There's No Chance

Campus-gated prediction markets for communities that need real settlement rules

  • Create clear yes/no markets in minutes.
  • Forecast local sports outcomes and season milestones.
  • Track city council votes, zoning approvals, and project timelines.
  • Run private, institution-gated markets for your community.
  • Predict average test results by grade, class, or term.
  • Build markets for hedging against poor academic performance.
  • Forecast faculty retirement dates and staffing transitions.
  • Estimate how many classes will be offered next semester.
  • Model class attendance on specific days tied to weather or events.

Payments & Token Economy

Fund your account in USD through Venmo and trade with wallet balance.

Venmo deposits (manual reconciliation)

Each Venmo deposit requires a generated invoice code in the payment note.

  • You payEnter any amount within wallet limits.
  • Required noteUse the invoice code exactly as shown in wallet.
  • Deposit creditWallet credit is posted at gross amount.
  • Cashout feeVenmo fee is estimated for withdrawal requests; self-serve cashouts are not exposed yet.

Wallet credit timing

Venmo payments are matched against your invoice code and posted into wallet.

  • Auto matchExact note and amount matches are credited directly into your wallet.
  • Manual reviewMissing or edited codes can send a payment into the admin review queue.
  • Ledger visibilityGross deposits and withdrawal request fees are visible in wallet and admin history.

Wallet and admin reconciliation views track gross deposits. Withdrawal requests run through eligibility checks and admin or API workflows until a self-serve cashout UI ships.

Built as software, not a mockup

Public landing page backed by real product surfaces.

The marketing site links into a working Next.js app with backend routes, gated data access, wallet controls, AI-assisted market sourcing, and regression tests around the risky paths.

Full-stack product

Institution access, market creation, trading, wallet, admin review, and resolution flows live behind the landing page.

AI agent work

Market-research automation drafts candidate markets, applies quality gates, and separates public from institution-specific scans.

Instrumentation

Webhook events, wallet ledgers, admin health checks, and market-operation status views make regressions visible.

Quality gates

Focused Vitest coverage protects trade math, access rules, webhooks, deposits, withdrawals, and resolution behavior.

Browse marketsRead resolution flow

Exploring first? Browse public markets. Institution markets unlock after login + verified .edu institution access.

FAQ

How do markets resolve?

Markets use community resolution by default with a fixed vote window, challenge window, and adjudication rules for ties/challenges. See the full flow on the Community Resolve page.

Open community resolve explainer

What is the dispute process and timing?

After provisional outcome, eligible out-voted resolvers can challenge by doubling their original stake. No challenge means automatic finalization to vote outcome; challenged markets go to human adjudication.

How are fees handled?

Trading and payout fees are shown in quote/checkout flows before execution. Fee policy is set per market or platform rules and is recorded in the ledger.

How do withdrawals work?

Withdrawals are not a self-serve account-page flow yet. Eligible cashout requests are handled through the withdrawal API and admin operations, with KYC status, risk controls, minimum thresholds, pending/completed/failed states, and reason tracking.

Can I run private or institution-only markets?

Yes. v1 supports gated access using approved organization and domain rules so only verified members can discover or trade selected markets.