Public market

Will an NFL team trade the reigning AP NFL MVP on or before April 1, 2026?

Status: Finalized

Closes Apr 1, 2026, 11:59 PM • Fee 0.50% • Resolution Community

Price + timeline

YES probability • updated 1:50:46 PM

0%25%50%75%100%
Feb 27Mar 16Apr 1

Auto-refreshes every 4 seconds and after completed trades.

Market strip

Live implied odds

YES 50.0%

NO 50.0%

Pool shares0

YES shares0

NO shares0

Liquidity parameter100

Community resolve

YES stake $0.00 · NO stake $0.00

Resolution window ends: Apr 2, 2026, 11:59 PM

Challenge window ends: Not set

Provisional outcome: N/A · Current outcome: Void

Challenges: 0 total, 0 open

If there is no challenge, the initial community vote finalizes automatically after the challenge window.

Resolution evidence

Status: Finalized

Platform evidence policy: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.

Evidence feed

No evidence has been submitted yet.

Market context

Applies to the AP NFL Most Valuable Player (MVP) for the most recently completed NFL season (2025 season, award announced at NFL Honors in Feb. 2026).

Created: Feb 27, 2026, 12:47 AM

Closes: Apr 1, 2026, 11:59 PM

Expected resolution: Not specified

Fee: 0.50%

Resolver stake cap: $1.00

Maker rake paid: $0.00

Tags: nfl, transactions, mvp, trade, offseason

Risk flags: definitionambiguity, transactionreversal

Resolution details

Resolves YES if: A trade involving the reigning AP NFL MVP is officially announced by the involved NFL clubs or appears on the NFL’s official transaction report on or before 2026-04-01T23:59:59Z.

Resolves NO if: No such trade is officially announced or recorded on the NFL’s transaction report by the deadline.

Resolver authority: Community provisional outcome + human adjudication only if tie/challenge

Vote/challenge windows: 24h vote + 24h challenge. See full community resolve flow.

Evidence rules: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.

Dispute rules: Community vote window is fixed at 24 hours after close. Challenge window is fixed at 24 hours after provisional outcome.

Official and supporting sources