Public market

Will Beyoncé perform at the 98th Academy Awards on March 10, 2026?

Status: Finalized

Closes Mar 10, 2026, 11:59 PM • Fee 0.50% • Resolution Community

Price + timeline

YES probability • updated 1:46:41 PM

0%25%50%75%100%
Feb 27Mar 5Mar 11

Auto-refreshes every 4 seconds and after completed trades.

Market strip

Live implied odds

YES 50.0%

NO 50.0%

Pool shares0

YES shares0

NO shares0

Liquidity parameter100

Community resolve

YES stake $0.00 · NO stake $0.00

Resolution window ends: Mar 11, 2026, 11:59 PM

Challenge window ends: Not set

Provisional outcome: N/A · Current outcome: Void

Challenges: 0 total, 0 open

If there is no challenge, the initial community vote finalizes automatically after the challenge window.

Resolution evidence

Status: Finalized

Platform evidence policy: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.

Evidence feed

No evidence has been submitted yet.

Market context

Covers an on-air musical performance by Beyoncé during the 98th Academy Awards main ceremony broadcast on March 10, 2026.

Created: Feb 27, 2026, 12:47 AM

Closes: Mar 10, 2026, 11:59 PM

Expected resolution: Mar 11, 2026, 5:00 AM

Fee: 0.50%

Resolver stake cap: $1.00

Maker rake paid: $0.00

Tags: oscars, academy-awards, beyonc, entertainment, performance

Risk flags: programmingchange, announcementuncertainty

Resolution details

Resolves YES if: Beyoncé performs (live or officially pre-recorded and aired) as part of the main Oscars ceremony broadcast on 2026-03-10, as confirmed by the Academy or ABC. Cameos without musical performance do not count.

Resolves NO if: Beyoncé does not perform during the 98th Academy Awards ceremony broadcast.

Resolver authority: Community provisional outcome + human adjudication only if tie/challenge

Vote/challenge windows: 24h vote + 24h challenge. See full community resolve flow.

Evidence rules: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.

Dispute rules: Community vote window is fixed at 24 hours after close. Challenge window is fixed at 24 hours after provisional outcome.

Official and supporting sources