Price + timeline
YES probability • updated 1:51:49 PM
Feb 20Feb 28Mar 8
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Public market
Will the 2026 Winter Paralympics in Italy officially begin by March 7, 2026?
Status: Finalized
Closes Mar 8, 2026, 12:00 AM • Fee 0.50% • Resolution Community
Market strip
Live implied odds
YES 50.0%
NO 50.0%
Pool shares0
YES shares0
NO shares0
Liquidity parameter100
Community resolve
YES stake $0.00 · NO stake $0.00
Resolution window ends: Mar 9, 2026, 12:00 AM
Challenge window ends: Not set
Provisional outcome: N/A · Current outcome: Void
Challenges: 0 total, 0 open
If there is no challenge, the initial community vote finalizes automatically after the challenge window.
Resolution evidence
Status: Finalized
Platform evidence policy: Evidence includes official announcements and broadcasts from the International Paralympic Committee (IPC).
Evidence feed
No evidence has been submitted yet.
Market context
This market resolves YES if the 2026 Winter Paralympic Games officially commence with an opening ceremony on or before March 7, 2026, in Italy. It resolves NO if the opening ceremony happens after March 7, 2026, or the games do not start by then.
Tags: sports, world, paralympics, italy
Risk flags: event-delay, weather
Resolution details
Resolves YES if: The official opening ceremony of the 2026 Winter Paralympics is held on or before March 7, 2026.
Resolves NO if: The opening ceremony is held after March 7, 2026, or the games do not commence by that date.
Resolver authority: Community provisional outcome + human adjudication only if tie/challenge
Vote/challenge windows: 24h vote + 24h challenge. See full community resolve flow.
Evidence rules: Evidence includes official announcements and broadcasts from the International Paralympic Committee (IPC).
Dispute rules: Disputes resolved by referencing official IPC channels and event schedules published online.