Price + timeline
YES probability • updated 1:48:46 PM
Feb 27Mar 21Apr 13
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Public market
Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution imposing new multilateral sanctions on North Korea by April 13, 2026?
Status: Open
Closes Apr 13, 2026, 12:00 AM • Fee 0.50% • Resolution Community
Market strip
Live implied odds
YES 50.0%
NO 50.0%
Pool shares0
YES shares0
NO shares0
Liquidity parameter100
Community resolve
YES stake $0.00 · NO stake $0.00
Resolution window ends: Not set
Challenge window ends: Not set
Provisional outcome: N/A · Current outcome: N/A
Challenges: 0 total, 0 open
If there is no challenge, the initial community vote finalizes automatically after the challenge window.
Final outcome is only set by a human when there is a tie or at least one valid challenge.
Market context
Covers adoption of any UN Security Council resolution concerning the DPRK (North Korea) that imposes at least one new binding sanction, such as listing new individuals/entities for asset freeze/travel ban in an annex, tightening sectoral bans/caps, or creating new binding restrictions beyond those in force before adoption.
Tags: united-nations, security-council, dprk, sanctions, geopolitics
Risk flags: legalinterpretation, diplomaticdelay
Resolution details
Resolves YES if: On or before 2026-04-13T00:00:00Z, the UN Security Council adopts a resolution concerning the DPRK (e.g., S/RES/xxxx) that (a) includes at least one new binding measure under Chapter VII, including but not limited to adding one or more individuals or entities to the 1718 Sanctions List via an annex to the resolution; or (b) expands or creates binding sectoral restrictions or caps applicable to the DPRK.
Resolves NO if: No such Security Council resolution is adopted by the deadline; or the Council only issues nonbinding statements/press elements; or listings/changes occur solely via 1718 Committee actions without adoption of a Security Council resolution.
Resolver authority: Community provisional outcome + human adjudication only if tie/challenge
Vote/challenge windows: 24h vote + 24h challenge. See full community resolve flow.
Evidence rules: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.
Dispute rules: Community vote window is fixed at 24 hours after close. Challenge window is fixed at 24 hours after provisional outcome.