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Will Apple announce a new iPad Pro model on or before 2026-03-31?

Status: Finalized

Closes Mar 31, 2026, 11:59 PM • Fee 0.50% • Resolution Community

Price + timeline

YES probability • updated 1:48:01 PM

0%25%50%75%100%
Feb 27Mar 16Apr 1

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Market strip

Live implied odds

YES 50.0%

NO 50.0%

Pool shares0

YES shares0

NO shares0

Liquidity parameter100

Community resolve

YES stake $0.00 · NO stake $0.00

Resolution window ends: Apr 1, 2026, 11:59 PM

Challenge window ends: Not set

Provisional outcome: N/A · Current outcome: Void

Challenges: 0 total, 0 open

If there is no challenge, the initial community vote finalizes automatically after the challenge window.

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Resolution evidence

Status: Finalized

Platform evidence policy: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.

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Evidence feed

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Market context

Resolves Yes if Apple publishes an official Newsroom press release or holds an Apple event that explicitly announces a new iPad Pro model (new generation or refreshed model line) on or before 2026-03-31 23:59 UTC. Accessory-only announcements (e.g., keyboards, pencils) or software features alone do not count unless the product announcement clearly includes a new iPad Pro model.

Created: Feb 27, 2026, 2:42 PM

Closes: Mar 31, 2026, 11:59 PM

Expected resolution: Apr 1, 2026, 4:00 PM

Fee: 0.50%

Resolver stake cap: $1.00

Maker rake paid: $0.00

Tags: apple, ipad-pro, hardware, product-launch, newsroom

Risk flags: eventschedulechange, wordingambiguity, webpagereorganization

Resolution details

Resolves YES if: Apple’s official Newsroom or event page announces a new iPad Pro model by the close time, with Apple referring to the device as “iPad Pro.”

Resolves NO if: No qualifying new iPad Pro announcement is made by Apple by the close time.

Resolver authority: Community provisional outcome + human adjudication only if tie/challenge

Vote/challenge windows: 24h vote + 24h challenge. See full community resolve flow.

Evidence rules: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.

Dispute rules: Community vote window is fixed at 24 hours after close. Challenge window is fixed at 24 hours after provisional outcome.

Official and supporting sources