Will the U.S. FTC file a new antitrust complaint naming Meta Platforms, Inc. between 2026-01-01 and 2026-03-31?

Status: Finalized

Closes Mar 31, 2026, 11:59 PM • Fee 0.50% • Resolution Community

Price + timeline

YES probability • updated 1:47:37 PM

Feb 27Mar 16Apr 2

Auto-refreshes every 4 seconds and after completed trades.

Market strip

Live implied odds

YES 50.0%

NO 50.0%

Pool shares0

YES shares0

NO shares0

Liquidity parameter100

Community resolve

YES stake $0.00 · NO stake $0.00

Resolution window ends: Apr 1, 2026, 11:59 PM

Challenge window ends: Not set

Provisional outcome: N/A · Current outcome: Void

Challenges: 0 total, 0 open

If there is no challenge, the initial community vote finalizes automatically after the challenge window.

Resolution evidence

Status: Finalized

Platform evidence policy: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.

Evidence feed

No evidence has been submitted yet.

Market context

A qualifying filing is a new civil antitrust complaint initiated by the Federal Trade Commission that names Meta Platforms, Inc. (or Meta Platforms, Inc. and subsidiaries) as a respondent/defendant, filed either in U.S. federal court or as an FTC administrative (Part 3) complaint, with a filing date from 2026-01-01 through 2026-03-31 (inclusive). Amendments in pre-existing cases or purely non-antitrust matters (e.g., privacy or consumer protection unrelated to antitrust) do not count.

Created: Feb 27, 2026, 2:42 PM

Closes: Mar 31, 2026, 11:59 PM

Expected resolution: Apr 2, 2026, 6:00 PM

Fee: 0.50%

Resolver stake cap: $1.00

Maker rake paid: $0.00

Tags: ftc, meta, antitrust, litigation, big-tech

Risk flags: definitionrisk, filingtimestampambiguity, multiforumfilings

Resolution details

Resolves YES if: The FTC publicly posts or announces a new antitrust complaint naming Meta with a filing date within 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31 (inclusive).

Resolves NO if: No qualifying new antitrust complaint naming Meta is filed by the close time.

Resolver authority: Community provisional outcome + human adjudication only if tie/challenge

Vote/challenge windows: 24h vote + 24h challenge. See full community resolve flow.

Evidence rules: Evidence must rely on authentic source material. AI-generated media, edited/manipulated media, spoofed websites, and fabricated records are not allowed.

Dispute rules: Community vote window is fixed at 24 hours after close. Challenge window is fixed at 24 hours after provisional outcome.