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finalized

Will Microsoft announce a ≥$5B acquisition of a publicly traded U.S. company by March 31, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 31, 11:59 PM

microsoft · ma · acquisition · nyse

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Public

finalized

Will an NFL team trade the reigning AP NFL MVP on or before April 1, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 1, 11:59 PM

nfl · transactions · mvp · trade

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Public

finalized

Will U.S. initial unemployment insurance claims for the week ending March 28, 2026 exceed 250,000 in the first DOL release?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 2, 12:30 PM

department-of-labor · initial-claims · jobless-claims · weekly-data

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Public

finalized

Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3, seasonally adjusted) for March 2026 be at or below 4.0% in the initial BLS release?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Apr 3, 12:30 PM

bls · unemployment-rate · u-3 · labor-market

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finalized

Will the United States Federal Reserve announce a 0.25% interest rate increase or higher at its March 2026 meeting?

YES 50%NO 50%

Pool 0

Closes Mar 20, 12:00 AM

finance · us-macro · economy · interest-rates

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